Russian philosopher and political scientist Dmitry Mikhailichenko drew attention in his channel to the increasing proposals to cancel the regional elections this year:
“The newly voiced proposal of “Fair Russia” Sergei Mironov to cancel the regional elections this year testifies: the ruling nomenklatura has not yet fully decided on its attitude not only to the so-called. elections, how much to the state of emergency as a principle of governance.
On the one hand, an emergency is a managerial resource that can be used to turn society into a barracks and force everyone to walk in formation and / or sit in their mantels, Khrushchevs and not stick out. The experience of the emergency has already been tested during the pandemic, although the practice of QR coding and universal vaccination was not successful, including because there was no support from the security forces, to put it mildly.
On the other hand, a state of emergency is a long-term threat that takes the entire society out of the state of everyday comfort and returns the inhabitants and the entire apolitical swamp to a sense of contact with the disturbing realities of the special operation in Ukraine. Sociology shows that the majority of Russians are willing to view these events as something distant and prefer to think that they will not be affected.
Persistent (with obvious shades of the influence of the security forces) promotion of the state of emergency is proactive pressure not so much on society as on decision-making centers. In terms of its scope, this proposal is comparable to the calls of turbo-patriots for the abolition of the principles of a market economy and the war with NATO to a victorious end (with inevitable general mobilization). And although both the financial and domestic political blocs are trying to minimize the emergency, one way or another, we will have to face it in the coming years.
The proactive emergency brings to its logical conclusion the vector of development of the configuration, which has long passed the point of no return. Under these conditions, proactive pushing through an emergency is not about efficiency, but about additional acceleration of those processes that have already been launched and look inevitable in the historical perspective.
Moderates in the ruling class understand this, but they cannot oppose anything to the geopolitical confrontation with the West, which has also passed the point of no return. And this works in favor of the supporters of a hard state of emergency.
The ability to handle an emergency is the most important managerial resource, without which the Configuration will not do. The only question is whether the soft or hard mode of its use will be the main one”.