According to the Law of Conservation: Migration from the country weakened Russia, but strengthened its neighbors

Analytics
According to the Law of Conservation: Migration from the country weakened Russia, but strengthened its neighbors
According to the Law of Conservation: Migration from the country weakened Russia, but strengthened its neighbors
31 October, 09:16Photo: Соцсети
While the crisis processes are deepening in Russia, Armenia. Georgia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Mongolia, Turkey and even Kyrgyzstan are showing economic growth above all forecasts for 2021.

As Novye Izvestia has already reported, the influx of migrants from Russia has made Armenia a real record holder in terms of economic growth: instead of the planned 1.5-2%, it will grow by 11-12% by the end of the year. This happened, among other things, due to the fact that the entire population of this country is 3 million people, while the Russians who flew there after the announcement of mobilization, there are approximately 150 thousand, that is, 5% of the total population!

According to the law of conservation of energy, it is known: if it has arrived somewhere, then it has gone somewhere. In positive scenarios, the Russian Federation could lose only 2% this year, but now it will probably be 5-6%, experts of the Inflation Shock channel write. “That's a lot. Despite the fact that the total population will not decrease (due to the inhabitants of new territories and refugees). But the qualitative composition of the population will change dramatically for the worse.

Educated men in the dawn of power with high consumption have been replaced by pensioners, children, the marginalized, the disabled and a very small number of the working population. That is, they replaced those who pay taxes in the economy with those who consume subsidies (benefits / payments) from the budget ... "

And here is what is happening today in neighboring countries, which are happy to receive guests from Russia.

Uzbekistan

In Tashkent, the cost of renting housing has increased. The average cost of renting real estate per 1 sq. m in the capital of Uzbekistan has increased by 22.4% since the beginning of the year, Gazeta.uz reports with reference to the Center for Economic Research and Reforms of Uzbekistan.

Also this month, the number of registered real estate purchase and sale transactions increased by 19% compared to the same period in 2021 and the demand for rental housing increased.

Recall that after the announcement of partial mobilization in Russia, the number of resumes of Russians in Uzbekistan increased by 47%.

Kazakhstan

Since September 21, Kazakhstan has received about 200,000 applications for an individual identification number (IIN) from foreigners, the Kazakhinform agency reports , citing the country's Deputy Minister of Digital Development and Aerospace Industry Aset Turysov.

IIN is assigned to all individuals in Kazakhstan and is issued for life. The document allows a foreign citizen to register a number with a Kazakh telecom operator, in addition, it allows financial transactions, including transfers and opening bank accounts and cards.

“I will not be able to provide accurate information about the submission of the IIN. Any foreign citizen who wants to do business here or get a job, open a bank account, he is required to obtain an IIN, ”Turysov said.

On October 4, the head of the Ministry of Digital Development of Kazakhstan, Bagdat Musin, reported that about 70,000 Russian citizens had received IINs of non-resident foreigners since September 21, the agency clarifies.

Recall that after the announcement of partial mobilization, more than 200 thousand Russians entered the territory of Kazakhstan.

Georgia

Georgia will see double-digit economic growth this year, President of the country's National Bank Koba Gvenetadze predicts . He stated in particular:

“As a result of the special operation in Ukraine and the accompanying sanctions, migration flows in Georgia have increased significantly, which stimulated demand. The average annual economic growth for the first eight months of the year was 10.3%. Accordingly, the forecast for economic growth in 2022 is raised to 10%, and the average annual level of economic activity is likely to exceed its potential level.”

The Georgian government's baseline forecast assumes economic growth of 8.5% in 2022.

Money

It is also important that Russian banks are trying to adapt to the new situation. Thus, Tinkoff began to resume outgoing SWIFT transfers for all clients.

Now you can transfer dollars and euros to Armenia, Azerbaijan (except for Bank of Baku), to some banks in Uzbekistan, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan and Belarus, and to one Mongolian Khan Bank.

“We are slowly establishing bypass routes with the nearest countries. Alas, now there are no guarantees that new sanctions will not block the way to these banks. However, we still really hope that everything will be fine, albeit not immediately,” the bank’s support service said.

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