Toad vs Viper: It looks like a new civil war has begun in Afghanistan

As a result of several explosions that sounded yesterday at the Kabul airport, more than 1.3 thousand people were injured, a source in the Afghan Ministry of Health told RIA Novosti. The Wall Street Journal reported the deaths of more than 100 people, including 13 American soldiers, whose deaths were confirmed at the Pentagon. At least 28 of the 103 people who died in the bombings near the Kabul airport were Taliban * (a terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation). This was reported by Reuters, citing an unnamed Taliban official. He also said that he saw no reason to extend the timeline for the withdrawal of foreign troops from Afghanistan.

The terrorist group ISIS (the Islamic State terrorist organization banned in the Russian Federation) claimed responsibility for the terrorist attack in Kabul. The head of the US Central Command, General Kenneth Mackenzie, did not rule out that ISIS terrorists may continue to carry out attacks in Afghanistan.

In connection with these events, US President Joe Biden announced that he had ordered the Pentagon to develop plans to strike at the leadership and points of deployment of ISIS.

“For those who perpetrated these attacks, as well as anyone who wants to harm America, know that we will not forgive. We will not forget. We'll hunt you down and make you pay. (…) I am responsible for everything that has happened recently [in Afghanistan]. But here's the thing ... You know as well as I do that the former president made a deal with the Taliban. We will respond powerfully and precisely at the time and place that we choose ... "

White House spokesman Jen Psaki, responding to Republican calls for Biden to step down, said:

“This is not a day for politicking. We expect every American, elected or not, to stand shoulder to shoulder with us and share the resolve to pursue, fight and kill these terrorists wherever they are. ”

Meanwhile, analysts believe that all signs of a new round of civil war have emerged in Afghanistan.

Experts of the Kremlin washerwoman channel write:

“The coalition against the Taliban movement was headed by the Vice-President of Afghanistan Amrullah Saleh, the number of this association is about 16 thousand people. It included servicemen and policemen, militias, Tajik, Badakhshan, Uzbek, Hazara and Turkmen population. It is quite possible that they will be joined by the Uzbek formations of Marshal Abdul Rashid Dostum and, of course, the militants of Ahmad Masud Jr.

Together, the Uzbek and Tajik forces expect to establish control over the entire Panjshir, which was under the control of the Northern Alliance even before 2001, when the Taliban ruled the rest of Afghanistan.

It seems that the situation is repeating itself, fueled by a third party - the Americans. It is not for nothing that US CIA Director William Burns met on August 23 in Kabul with the leader of the political wing of the radical Islamic Taliban movement Abdul Ghani Baradar. As always with the Americans: divide and conquer. And today, Taliban aviation has already bombed the militants of Ahmad Massoud Jr. in Panjshir. There are battles ... "

Publicist Anatoly Nesmiyan is sure that this situation only plays into the hands of Biden:

“The paradox of yesterday's series of terrorist attacks in Afghanistan is that, given certain actions by the American administration, terrorist attacks can play into its hands. Comparisons with the events of 2012 in Benghazi, when the American ambassador was killed, have already begun yesterday. The United States did not look very good then, but this allowed them to finally leave Libya, defeating not so much the local natives as the bloodthirsty hawks in the American leadership itself, who demanded continued intervention in Libya right up to direct intervention. Since the key figure of the then hawks was Hillary Clinton, she is also the Secretary of State, Obama with a pure heart for the next term took another, more sane John Kerry, defeating the Clinton clan in the apparatus struggle and pushing him deep enough behind the stove.

Now Biden has about the same problem. The Republicans in the first place, but also some of the Democrats, support the continuation of the military presence in Afghanistan, albeit in a changed format. The problem is that the direct participation of the United States in this war has long lost all meaning. All the tasks that were set for this war have been fulfilled, this presence has long ceased to have any rational basis. Moreover, right now the withdrawal of all foreign forces and the coming to power of the Taliban are creating a new situation, a fundamentally new one, in which it is possible and necessary to play on the emerging regional contradictions. The Americans know how and even love to do this. The main condition for such games is the external control of events. When you are inside them, you are vulnerable. When you are "outside", those who remain are vulnerable.

So far, proceeding from the principle of "qui prodest", what happened is most beneficial to those forces in the United States who would like to end this story and start a new one - in the same place. The classic American principle of the stock exchange game is to fix profits and losses. In a sense, this is an art, since in many respects such decisions are made on an intuitive level. And a professional is able to intuitively minimize costs and extract the highest possible income.

In any case, the guys from the Afghan ISIS (it may well be that they were the direct executors - why not) just worked out their part of the overall task. But it was clearly not they who put it. Not for Senka such a hat..."

On the other hand, experts from the Purely for Fixation channel are confident that these events greatly reduce Biden's reputation:

“The terrorist attacks in Kabul are obviously a way to lower the reputation of the US President, up to and including his impeachment. It is noteworthy that the key players knew about these attacks and warned the public about them in advance.

The main lesson for Russia in this new situation in Afghanistan is to stop “loving” the Taliban in public as soon as possible.

Apparently, the Taliban have nothing to do with these terrorist attacks, but the fact that they do not control the situation in the country is a fact. Against this background, the praise of them from the Russian diplomacy does not look just stupid. Soon this praise will begin to be used to tie Russia to the real perpetrators of these and subsequent terrorist acts. But this will already be quite dangerous..."

The journalist Pavel Pryanikov fears that the Afghan showdown will reach the borders of Russia:

“The war between the toad and the viper - ISIS and the Taliban has begun in Afghanistan. Previously, the tribes fought there, but now the section has gone according to views on the Islamic world order.

But ISIS is not the Taliban, it has a policy of expansion. If these will gain a foothold in Afghanistan, then their next rush will be to Central Asia, where local kleptocracies have rotted no less than the former Afghan government of collaborators.

Very sad. Russia from the south will receive another burning arc, and completely permanent..."