Posted 28 марта, 08:48
Published 28 марта, 08:48
Modified 28 марта, 11:59
Updated 28 марта, 11:59
Dmitry Mikhailichenko, Analyst, Doctor of Philosophy
The beginning of the SMO and the partial mobilization led to a significant outflow of citizens from the country.
However, now it has, in fact, stopped, and there are even signs of the return of a significant part of those who left. It is significant that propaganda has stopped informational and psychological attacks on those who have left.
The sociology of disagreement with what is happening (in the broad sense of the word) is characterized by about 20-25%: these are those who believe that the situation in the country is moving along the wrong path. Not all of them are politicized, but many are potentially part of the phenomenon of internal emigration.
The term "internal emigration" in 2023 in Russia characterizes the thinking and social behavior of Russians who are not ready to absorb the patterns of the national political culture, as well as to express their public attitude to the political course of the country's leadership in internal disagreement with it.
An apolitical "swamp" is characterized by at least 50-60% of the country's population, but this is not pure internal emigration. In democratic countries with a rotating government, there are more opportunities for interest in politics, but there is also an apolitical majority. The term "internal emigration" should be applied specifically to those who were engaged/ ready to engage in politics and show civic activity a few years ago, but now they will not do this. Internal emigration, I think, should include a small segment of 5-7% of citizens who were ready to engage in politics and actively express their position 3-5 years ago, but will not do so now.
Indicators of this phenomenon:
It's not the 1970s: the mobility of society is much higher than the times of the Brezhnev stagnation, but many do not want to leave and prefer internal emigration. For the state, this scenario is quite suitable for itself. This may be one of the facets of the new consensus of society and the authorities: "You sit quietly, fix the primus, but the "Big Brother" does not touch you." But this balance is shaky: circumstances of force majeure may intervene in the situation.
Especially for the "Kremlin Bezbashennik"