Troops movement in Crimea: is Russia intimidating Ukraine, or is our country seriously preparing for the war?

A video has been posted on social networks showing a large military echelon of the RF Armed Forces on the Crimean Bridge. Military equipment is moving towards the peninsula. Self-propelled artillery mounts "Msta-S" and airborne combat vehicles are distinguishable. No wonder, on March 30, the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Ruslan Khomchak said that Russia is gradually increasing the number of troops near the border of Ukraine in the south, east and north.

Network analyst Boris Rozhin notes in this regard:

“The equipment is being driven quite openly during the day, without much hiding, although, if desired, the military could do it more secretly. Probably, this is also a kind of signal for Ukraine..."

In addition, Rozhin publishes a video from the Russian city of Kamyshin, which shows the echelon of the 56th Airborne Assault Brigade, which is quite officially being transferred to Crimea, where it will be deployed in the Feodosia region.

A few days ago, TASS, citing Defense Minister Shoigu, said that in the Crimean city of Feodosia a separate airborne regiment would be formed from an existing airborne brigade: “As part of building up the combat capabilities of troops in 2021 by the end of the year, reorganize the 56th an airborne assault brigade in the 56th airborne assault regiment with a permanent base in Feodosia".

Another analyst, Anatoly Nesmiyan, expresses his views on this show of power.

First, in his opinion, so far the threats are purely virtual in nature and Russian propaganda is silent, which means that there is no talk of a real exacerbation. And secondly, even in the event of a war, it is unlikely that it will be small and victorious. Rather, it will be an analogue of the Russian-Japanese one. With the same underestimation of the enemy, and overestimation of their capabilities. The result is well known.

“But”, emphasizes Nesimyan, “if the “analysis” of old and politically dead-end conflicts through a forceful solution is put on the conveyor belt, it will not seem enough to anyone. Karabakh has created certain illusions that force is a perfectly acceptable instrument for resolving such conflicts. If it is possible to repeat the Karabakh story in the Donbas (even partially), then the processes of revising the existing status quo may begin across the planet. And there are very, very many of them. On the territory of the former USSR, these are South Ossetia, Abkhazia, Transnistria. China has Taiwan, and American generals are already very skeptical about the possibility of guaranteeing its immunity. There are territorial problems between Japan and China, between Japan and Russia. There is also Latin America with its endless small and not very small claims to each other and more distant opponents. Just start here..."