The neural network predicted the peak of the fourth wave of covid

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The neural network predicted the peak of the fourth wave of covid
The neural network predicted the peak of the fourth wave of covid
24 November, 10:52Technology
With a probability of 93%, the peak of the fourth wave of the coronavirus pandemic will fall on December 22, after which the incidence will decline, said Promobot, which develops artificial intelligence for robots.

According to RIA Novosti, to obtain a forecast, multiclass classifiers based on a combination of various neural networks were used. The most famous of them is the GTP-3 neural network, which was previously presented by the head of SpaceX and Tesla Elon Musk. The classical machine learning algorithm "gradient boosting" processed the data obtained.

To make the forecast the most accurate, the developers have raised the possible threshold. We expanded the selection and narrowed the required query. According to experts, the forecast accuracy was 93%, but the date may be adjusted due to softer restrictive measures during the fourth wave of covid. Thus, the peak may come several days earlier.

Earlier, we recall, analysts predicted that the peak of the fourth - and most powerful - wave of coronavirus will fall on December 7. The number of active patients by this time, according to experts, should reach 1.2 million, while at the peak of the previous wave the figure was 554 thousand.

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