The neural network predicted the peak of the fourth wave of covid

According to RIA Novosti, to obtain a forecast, multiclass classifiers based on a combination of various neural networks were used. The most famous of them is the GTP-3 neural network, which was previously presented by the head of SpaceX and Tesla Elon Musk. The classical machine learning algorithm "gradient boosting" processed the data obtained.

To make the forecast the most accurate, the developers have raised the possible threshold. We expanded the selection and narrowed the required query. According to experts, the forecast accuracy was 93%, but the date may be adjusted due to softer restrictive measures during the fourth wave of covid. Thus, the peak may come several days earlier.

Earlier, we recall, analysts predicted that the peak of the fourth - and most powerful - wave of coronavirus will fall on December 7. The number of active patients by this time, according to experts, should reach 1.2 million, while at the peak of the previous wave the figure was 554 thousand.