“Aristotle taught me to satisfy my mind only with what reasoning convinces me, and not just the authority of teachers. Such is the power of truth: you try to refute it, but your very attacks elevate it and give it great value" (XVI century, Italian philosopher, physicist, mathematician Galileo Galilei).
Vladimir Garmatyuk, thinker (Vologda)
The climate in translation from the ancient Greek language literally means "tilt" - the angle of inclination of the Earth's surface to the rays of the Sun.
Quite recently, on the night of December 12, 2015, a two-week interstate UN Climate Conference, code-named COP-21, ended with great difficulty in Paris. The conference was attended by representatives from 195 countries, including many top officials of states. As the world media reported, the negotiations were extremely difficult due to many disagreements, and in order to speed up the process, US President Barack Obama even called and hurried Chinese President Xi Jinping.
The conference participants resolved the issues of dividing production quotas for "greenhouse" (carbon dioxide) CO2. Under the pretext of combating greenhouse gases, it is planned to eliminate competitors by closing promising enterprises in developing countries. The organizers of the meeting had a distant aim - the concentration of production and money in the hands of large monopolies, and, ultimately, their complete domination in the sphere of production. The external plausible pretext for the conference was a good goal - to prevent the temperature on Earth from rising by more than two degrees compared to the end of the 19th century.
However, having not achieved any result in five years to change the climate by at least a hundredth of a degree, again in Scotland, in Glasgow in November 2021, a new UN Conference (COP-26) was held on the same topic. There were 25 thousand delegates from 200 countries and about 120 heads of state. As time has shown, new knowledge is comprehended by mankind with great difficulty, therefore the "Conference on Climate" was more like not a meeting of scientists, but a commercial fair that offered participants "clean" nuclear, wind and other sources of energy production.
The progressive public must continue to prepare for cutting the budget in their countries under the fictitious problem of “fighting the climate”.
As the Russian proverb says: "A cart is too strong and does not take a horse." - Is the human mind able to change the climate on Earth?
Now let's get to the point - and talk about the reasons for the change in the average air temperature on Earth, about what is called the "greenhouse effect".
If the Parisian "greenhouse" conference COP-21 and the Scottish COP-26 were held on some island in Papua New Guinea, and savages from the surrounding villages were its participants, they would be condescendingly forgiven.
Because even more than two thousand years ago, astronomers of ancient Egypt discovered the phenomenon of precession (the axis of the Earth relative to the tilt to the Sun moves in a circle). The toy "spinning top" (whirligig), known to many since childhood, begins to sway before stopping, the more it slows down, the more it sways. This same phenomenon occurs with the Earth and is called precession.
Due to its rotation around the axis, the Earth does not have time to overheat and overcool, and therefore there is a variety of life on it. The more the Earth slows down its rotation, the more it will wobble and the sharper the temperature drops will occur (the weather will change more sharply). And when the Earth stops, then on one side, turned to the Sun, it will have a hot sandy desert, and on the other, a cold snowy desert. The moon, for example, no longer rotates either in precession or on its axis, it is turned to the Earth on one side.
At present, the Earth, while rotating around its axis, slows down its motion. The deceleration is variable and amounts to a thousand years, approximately. 0.1 - 1 second.
With damped rotation, the Earth swings like a whirligig, more substituting to the Sun, then one place, then another place. In exactly the same way as a person, warming himself by the fire, turns to the fire, now one side or the other. Even the ancient Greeks called "climate" the "tilt" of the sun's rays to the surface of the Earth.
What is the significance of the angle of inclination of the Sun's rays to the Earth - everyone understands, observing the change of seasons from winter to summer and vice versa in all the variety of weather changes. Even daily temperature changes depend on the height of the Sun above the horizon, not to mention its global change throughout the year. All changes in the weather on Earth entirely depend on what place the Sun occupies in the sky (that is, what is the angle of inclination of the Sun's rays to the Earth's surface.
In the precession of the Earth, one complete revolution of the planet's axis in a circle (360 degrees) occurs in 25920 years (in 72 years by 1 degree). The angle of deviation of the Earth's axis (from the conventional center) when the planet wobbles is 23 degrees 27 minutes.
What will be 23 degrees of latitude on Earth?
1 degree of latitude (longitude) of the Earth is 111.1 kilometers.
Accordingly, 23 degrees and 27 minutes - 2600 kilometers.
This is roughly, on a globe, as the distance from Sweden to Cyprus.
The angle between the maximum and minimum inclination of the Earth to the Sun in precession is twice as large and is already 46 degrees and 54 minutes (5200 km.). And this is roughly the distance from the Arctic Circle to Africa.
Everyone understands that there will be one weather (temperature) on Earth (in particular in the Northern Hemisphere) when the Earth exposes the coast of Africa to the rays of the Sun. And completely different, when at the same angle of inclination, under the same hot rays - the northern shores of Scandinavia. It is also clear that in this case, in the polar latitudes of Russia, North America, Greenland, Scandinavia, there will be no longer a long, cold polar night, the Sun will rise high there and there will be the same heat as it is today in northern Africa.
And pay attention here to the fact that the factor of the Earth's tilt to the Sun will act for more than one short-term period, as with the annual climate change from winter to summer, and the influence will occur for thousands of years! Many, many, many years! Gradual warming up or in the opposite direction of movement - cooling.
The ancient Egyptians and Greeks called the full circle of 25,920 years of the precessional revolution and wobble of the planet - the great year of the Earth ("Platonic year"). A year is like a year, only more human life - with all its global climate changes.
Thus, the precession (change in the inclination of the Earth to the rays of the Sun) on the change of weather has the only important, global and cyclical effect.
Completely and completely the weather (climate) on Earth (temperature, humidity, water level in the world's oceans, flora and fauna, and everything else) depends not on the opinion of "scientists" at a conference in Paris or Glasgow on greenhouse gases, but on the astronomical phenomenon of precession , that is, from a long-term for thousands of years change in the inclination of the planet Earth to the Sun.
The total amount of heat from the Sun to the Earth's surface comes unchanged during the great Platonic year. But heat is distributed (absorbed or reflected) on the Earth, depending on the angle of inclination in the precessional position of our planet in different ways.
With regard to temperature (increase or decrease in the volume of "greenhouse" gases). For example, the more you heat a kettle of water on the stove, the more steam is released from it. The water in the kettle does not boil because steam is emitted, but because the kettle is on fire. The same is true for the Earth: the more the Sun (as a whole) heats it, the higher the temperature of the soil and air in the atmosphere.
On Earth, in the Northern Hemisphere, large areas are occupied by land (Siberia, Canada, Greenland), and in the Southern Hemisphere there is more water in area - the Pacific, Indian, Atlantic, Southern oceans.
The dry land from the rays of the Sun absorbs more heat, and the water of the seas and oceans is less.
When the tilt of the Earth changes in precession, the areas of land and water heated by the sun's rays change (increase or decrease), and this generally changes the average temperature on the Earth.
When the Earth is inclined to the Sun by the Northern Hemisphere, then comparatively more land areas in the North are heated by the direct rays of the Sun, which means that the average air temperature on the planet increases from this. When the tilt of the Earth to the Sun goes in the opposite direction, the heated area of the (northern) land decreases, and the area of heating of water in the oceans in the Southern Hemisphere increases. Water reflects more of the energy of the sun's rays, that is, in general, the planet is cooling down.
Knowledge of geology says that ice ages on Earth were repeated many times, and the last ice age ended about 10 - 12 thousand years ago.
Despite the cyclical periods of cooling and warming on Earth, no conclusions have been drawn from this, judging by the Paris and Scottish conferences.
The phenomenon of the impact of the planet's precession on the global change in the weather has not yet been understood by humanity (the part that calls itself "scientists").
During the periods of glaciation in the Northern Hemisphere, the ice shell sometimes dropped to the latitude of the modern cities of Kiev, Berlin and London.
Scandinavia, the Baltic, Canada and Siberia were under a multi-meter layer of ice and snow. In places the ice was the same as today in Antarctica. Due to the fact that a huge mass of terrestrial water was bound and concentrated in ice on the northern continents, covering a large area of Eurasia and America, then the level of the world ocean was 100-200 meters lower than the modern one. What is now flooded with water during the periods of glaciation was dry land. Therefore, oil is found and produced off the coast on the continental shelves.
If on the islands of Spitsbergen, beyond the Arctic Circle in the north of Russia, in Siberia, coal and oil are mined, it means that earlier there was lush vegetation. Coal and oil lie in layers and layers - that is, there were times of heat and cold, heat and cold alternately. This means that the warmth in the Arctic in the history of the Earth has already been many times ...
Now let's think ...
If the cooling was 10-12 thousand years ago (and half of the great circle of the Earth's axis is 12,960 years), then during the precessional movement of our planet , the heat peak in the Northern Hemisphere has not yet passed. The real heat (its peak) will be in one to three thousand years. Until then, there will be constant warming.
This warming will be reflected as follows.
For example, endless summer rains in our Northern Hemisphere are caused by the warming up of the atmosphere and the Earth's surface by the rays of the Sun. As a result, the ice melts with increased evaporation of moisture and its return to the Earth in the form of prolonged rains, raising the water level in open water bodies and underground aquifers.
Or, many have heard (seen on TV news) about a huge crack in the land in Africa. It was also called “the split of the continent”. This is also a manifestation of increased heating, but already its effect is manifested in Africa.
Now on Earth for the Northern Hemisphere, according to the "age of precession" (if the entire great Platonic year of 25920 years is divided by months), approximately like May-June - that is, just the beginning of the stormy spring melting of snow, the beginning of summer.
The passage of the heat peak in precession on the Earth will come in 1-3 thousand years - "in July" and by inertia it will be very warm for about four thousand years in "August - September". You can imagine and predict the consequences of this.
Modern deserts will move higher to the north, today's steppes will dry up, modern forest zones will turn into steppes, swamps in the tundra will dry up and become overgrown with deciduous forests. The Arctic Ocean will be moderately warm. Winters in the North will be snowless. In the next thousand years, ice will melt throughout the Northern Hemisphere, and the overall level of the world's oceans will rise significantly from this.
With the melting of the northern ice under the rays of the Sun, the melted water will heat up. Warm northern water by ocean currents will wash away and melt the coastal ice in Antarctica, breaking off huge icebergs from the ice continent, and this will further raise the overall water level in the seas and oceans. This is already happening.
As a result, large areas of modern coasts and coastal cities in the world will find themselves deep under water.
But you shouldn't worry about all this today, because when everything melts, then by that time there will be other values and priorities in the life of mankind.
No one today knows to what extent the temperature on Earth will rise in our first, comprehended by human consciousness, the current Platonic year during the maximum inclination of the Northern Hemisphere to the rays of the Sun.
"Parisian scientists" invent measures to combat the "greenhouse" gas ("with the steam that a kettle gives off when boiling"). For example, they propose to artificially create a bacterium, which, according to their idea, will eat carbon dioxide. This is not a poisonous plant hogweed, bred by "scientists", from which our contemporaries cannot find salvation. You cannot escape the gluttony of bacteria with a covid mask, multiplying countlessly - it will quickly eat up all the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, make the air composition unsuitable for life and destroy modern living organisms on Earth, including all of humanity and the "scientists" themselves.
Of course, it is possible to simulate the situation on a computer, measure and calculate the changing areas of heating of land and water over the years, but it is beyond the power of mankind to change the rotation of the planet, the tilt of the Earth in relation to the Sun and the associated precessional climate change. The situation must be accepted with humility, as well as the presence of the Sun and stars in the sky.
In 1 - 3 thousand years, having reached the peak of the heat in the Northern Hemisphere, the Earth in its precessional motion will tilt in the opposite direction. And after another 13 thousand years, it will reach the "peak of cold". An ice age will come again in the Northern Hemisphere.
And so on Earth every big precessional Platonic year will cyclically occur.
Humanity can be a happy observer of precessional climate change on Earth with cyclical periods of warming and cooling. But he may not see anything of this, if first, by his self-interest and egoism, with the help of the "Parisian scientists" he exterminates himself in the internecine struggle. For example, for the redistribution of industrial quotas for carbon dioxide, for changing the composition of the atmosphere with artificial bacteria, or (in the absence of democracy in countries) - in thermonuclear wars: for money, power and the ambitions of the leaders.